New England Patriots (8-3) at Houston Texans (2-9)

Kickoff: Sunday, December 1st, at 1PM Eastern

Line: New England -7.5 Total: 47


After they rallied to beat the Denver Broncos last week, by Sunday, the New England Patriots may be ready to steamroll the Houston Texans, in front of stadium full of Texans. Houston has lost 9 games in a row, and they have the poorest record against the spread in the league, with 2-9. They were even beaten by the Jacksonville Jaguars. At YouWager, the Texans are 7.5 underdogs in this contest.

New England’s quarterback, Tom Brady, seemed to get off to a sluggish start in the 2013 NFL football wagering season. Now, however, it looks like he has all the weapons he needs to dominate the league. In his last 3 games, Brady has averaged 357 yards per game, with 8 touchdowns and 1 interception. Down on the ground, it has not gone as smoothly for the Pats. Running back Stevan Ridley had 3 lost fumbles in his last 3 games. Online oddsmakers expect to see Belichick rotate Shane Vereen and Brandon Bolden in the running game. Stopping one is another matter. New England’s run defense, with 139.7 yards per game, is only 31st in the NFL. But with Arian Foster and his backup, Ben Tate, out with injuries, the Patriots will be up against rookie running back Dennis Johnson. The Patriots defeated the Texans in the 2012 NFL football regular wagering season 42-14, and 41-28 in the playoffs, covering the spread in both games at home.

The Texans only managed to score 6 points against the Jacksonville Jaguars, and the Jaguars have been something of a joke to Internet sportsbook bettors. So it is difficult to believe Houston can mount a serious offensive attack against New England’s improved defense. Rookie quarterback Case Keenum has only thrown for 169 yards on 34 attempts, and it appears that he only has 1 dependable receiver, Andre Johnson. Replacing Foster and Tate, rookie running back Dennis Johnson has done well for Houston, with 74 yards on 13 carries, but sharp sportsbook bettors don’t expect to see much of a ground game from the Texans. Surprisingly, Houston’s defense concedes fewer yards than any other team in the NFL, with a 290.4 yards per game average. But this defense is 26th in the league for points allowed, with 26.3 points per game.

In their last 5 games at home, the Texans are 0-5 against the spread. In their last 12 games, they are 2-10 against the spread. The Total has gone Over in 4 of Houston’s last 6 games. The Patriots are 0-3 straight up, and against the spread, in their last 3 games on the road. In their last 6 games, they are 4-2 against the spread. The Total has gone Over in 4 of New England’s last 6 games. At YouWager, the New England Patriots are 7.5 point favorites. The Total is 47. Game time on Sunday afternoon is 1PM Eastern.


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