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In college football, there are a lot of different pieces that need to come together for a team to be crowned as a champion. It all starts with the recruitment of new talent, as the top teams in the game all lose a ton of starts to the NFL every single year.

From there, it is up to the coaching staff to create a team that is solid on both sides of the football, as teams who don’t have that balance very often crumble when they run into a team with no real flaws. Finally, experience certainly helps, as it’s easier to handle the pressure of a big game when you have been there before.

In term of the college football playoffs, the Alabama Crimson Tide tick all of those boxes. This is a team that is in the habit of reloading and winning every year, as they have now won 5 of the last 9 National Championships. The Oklahoma Sooners are going to have their hands full here and will start as a 14-point dog. The point total is set at a lofty 77 points for the Orange Bowl.

Game Information

2018 Orange Bowl - College Football Playoff Semifinals - #1 Alabama Crimson Tide Vs #4 Oklahoma Sooners STATS

Weather Forecast

2018 Orange Bowl - College Football Playoff Semifinals - #1 Alabama Crimson Tide Vs #4 Oklahoma Sooners WEATHER

Why bet on the Alabama Crimson Tide?

The Alabama Crimson Tide went through the regular season without really being given much of a test by their opponents, but that all changed in the SEC Championship Game, where they were given all they could handle by the Georgia Bulldogs.

Alabama, as they so often do, persevered and managed to come from behind to seal the win and the #1 seed. They are a team that has very little in the way of obvious flaws, as they are outstanding on both sides of the football.

They finished the regular season by covering the spread in their final 5 games before failing to cover in the conference final. Overall, the Tide went 8-5 ATS as the favorite, but just 3-3 ATS in games played outside of Tuscaloosa.

2018 Orange Bowl - College Football Playoff Semifinals - #1 Alabama Crimson Tide Vs #4 Oklahoma Sooners_Tua-Tagovailoa

Why bet on the Oklahoma Sooners?

Make no mistake about it, Kyler Murray and the Oklahoma Sooners offense are a force to be reckoned with, but it’s their play on the defensive side of the football that has everyone a little nervous. There were some who even felt that Georgia should be in at the #4 spot ahead of the Sooners because of those defensive frailties, but the playoff committee thought otherwise.

It is that defense that has led to the point total being set so high for this one, as we already know that Alabama are going to be able to score against this D. The Sooners performed just fine when they were in as the underdog this season, going 2-1 ATS, which included being a perfect 2-0 ATS in games played away from home. 11 of their 13 games this season went OVER the point total.

2018 Orange Bowl - College Football Playoff Semifinals - #1 Alabama Crimson Tide Vs #4 Oklahoma Sooners_Kyler-Murray

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I think the one thing that we can all agree on here is that we are going to see a lot of scoring in this one. I like Alabama to win, but the size of the spread makes me a little nervous, as I think the Oklahoma offense can keep them in this one for a large portion of the game.

Predicted Score: Oklahoma Sooners 37 | Alabama Crimson Tide 47

2018 Orange Bowl - College Football Playoff Semifinals - #1 Alabama Crimson Tide Vs #4 Oklahoma Sooners_win

#1 Alabama Crimson Tide -14 -110 | #4 Oklahoma Sooners +14 -110

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