Earlier this year there was a lot of talk about who would lead the league in home runs by the end of the season. Some of the obvious names were up there, including Giancarlo Stanton, Josh Donaldson, Paul Goldschmidt, and Carlos Correa. Predicting the HR records before the season begins can only be partially accurate because those predictions are all based on historical data. Now that we’re just over a third of the way through the season, a clearer picture is beginning to emerge, and we can already see who some of the front runners are likely to be.Let’s go through a rundown of the top 5 home run records for both leagues as of late July, and see who’s looking good to top the record this year.

Top 5 HR Records in the National League as of July 2017

In the National League, we see some familiar names and a Major League newcomer in the form of Cody Bellinger.

1. Giancarlo Stanton

Stanton has been a favorite for the HR record throughout the year, and it’s not entirely unexpected to see him topping the National League HR record list with 30 home runs. ESPN predictions have Stanton picked to make 51 home runs in total this season, making him a frontrunner for the overall MLB HR record.

2. Joey Votto

Joey has hit 26 home runs for the Cincinnati Reds this season, making him one of their most important assets. Of course, with 10 years of professional experience behind him, it’s not that much of a surprise that he’s this high on the list at this stage of the season.

3. Cody Bellinger

With 26 home runs on his record so far, Cody Bellinger has earned his third place ranking at this stage of the season. What’s even more impressive is that this is his first year in the majors, and we’re yet to see the best that he can offer.

4. Jay Bruce

Bruce has been performing well for the New York Mets this year. His current HR record stands at 25, showing both the experience and the hitting ability that he still has. With 9 years in professional baseball, Jay Bruce is still in his prime.

5. Bryce Harper

Harper currently has 24 home runs to his record for the year, with a projected 43 for the entire season.

Top 10 HR Records in the American League as of July 2017

Current HR records in the American league are right up there with the National League, and it could even be argued that the top five are doing even better. Here’s a closer look at each of them.

1. Aaron Judge

The New York Yankees’ Aaron Judge is currently leading the MLB with 31 homeruns, and is projected to make 54 for the season. His total distance has been 417.07, with speed of 107.33, the highest in the American League. He’s a top favorite to record the most home runs in both the American League and the MLB this year.2.

2. Khris Davis

Khris Davis is not far behind Judge, with 27 home runs recorded so far. However, the two are not directly comparable, considering that Davis’ distance is just 405.96, and his speed is also down at just 104.2. 3.

3. George Springer

Springer has had a good early third to the season, hitting 27 home runs for the Houston Astros. There are a number of experts picking the Astros to make it to the playoffs this year, and with a player like Springer they might just have a chance of doing it. Springers total is expected to hit 45 home runs by the end of the season.4.

4. Justin Smoak

Here’s another player with a solid record so far, that will carry him well into the rest of the season. Smoak has hit 26 home runs as of late July, and expert predictions have him hitting 45 by the end of the season. Smoak’s distance is well down from the best of the American League (402.5), so he might not be quite in the running to top the overall HR record for the MLB. However, things can change quickly throughout any season, so he’s definitely one of the players to watch.

5. Mike Moustakas

Another player with a 26 HR record for the season, Mike Moustakas should be able to increase that total to 47 for the Kansas City Royals by the end of the season. Moustakas has the lowest true distance out of the top five in the American League, with just 397.33. If he wants to be a contender for the top spot, then this is something that will have to change.

Is it a Simple Battle Between Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton?

If we’re talking about expert opinions, then the current predictions have Aaron Judge beating Giancarlo Stanton to the top spot HR Records, with 54 home runs compared to 51. Judge has had the better true distance all year, and his speed off the bat has been marginally higher (107.33 compared to 107.02). If we look at some of the other stats, they also fall into Judge’s favor. When looking at hits that were just enough, Judge has 5 compared to 9 for Stanton. For deep power hits where there was no doubt of a home run, Judge has 10 compared to Stanton’s 9. They truly are neck and neck at this time, and we’ll need to see how the season progresses to find out which of the two will come out better off.Although there’s definitely talent and some good hitters in the rest of the list, it looks like Judge and Stanton are in a league of their own at the moment. If you’re picking someone for the top HR record this season, then the safest choice is going to be one of these two.

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