Updated: Thursday Night Football: Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots
After struggling mightily through three weeks, Tom Brady and the New England Patriots ‘found themselves’ in a big way in their emphatic Week 4 blowout.
Now, as the perennially-powerful Pats get set to host Andrew Luck and the visiting Indianapolis Colts, the big question NFL betting enthusiasts need to answer is whether or not the Patriots can cover the chalk as a double-digit home favorite on this Thursday Night Football matchup.
Let’s find out right now everyone!
Thursday Night Football: Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots
🏈: Thursday Night Football: Indianapolis Colts (1-3) at New England Patriots(2-2)
⏰: Thu. Oct 4, 2018 8:20 PM ET
🏟️: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
📺: FOX, NFL, DTV: 212
🎰: New England Patriots -10 -110 | -500 | U 51 -110
Indianapolis Colts (1-3)
The Colts put up a great fight on Sunday, but they lost to AFC South division rival Houston 37-34 in overtime thanks to a completely awful call by head coach Frank Reich that absolutely ‘gifted’ the Texans the victory.
Andrew Luck completed 40 of a whopping 62 pass attempts for 464 yards with four TD passes, but in the end, it wasn’t enough.
Reich inexplicably tried to convert a fourth-and-4 from his own 43-yard line with 24 seconds remaining in OT when a punt would have effectively made the outcome a tie.
“We’re not playing to tie,” Reich said. “We’re going for that 10 times out of 10. That (play) has just got to work.”
New England Patriots (2-2)
The Patriots rebounded from consecutive losses to smack the living daylights out of Miami in its 38-7 blowout over their AFC East division rivals on Sunday. Tom Brady passed for 274 yards and three touchdowns to lead the Pats to victory to improve to 15-1 as a starter against Miami.
“We hadn’t played well in the last weeks,” Brady said. “This game’s great. But you’ve gotta turn the page.”
New England held Miami to just 172 yards of total offense, but lost tight end Rob Gronkowski to an ankle injury in the second half. Rookie running back Sony Michel rushed 25 times for 112 yards and one score while veteran James Whited added 44 rushing yards and one touchdown on eight carries while contributing another 68 yards and one score on eight receptions.
Expert Pick and Prediction
While Indianapolis certainly hasn’t been completely awful in getting off to a 1-3 start in Andrew Luck’s return campaign, the fact of the matter is that the Colts have some glaring flaws on both sides of the ball, particularly on defense. Indy is putting up a decent 23.5 points per game, but they’re also giving up 25.0 points per game defensively.
Indianapolis has allowed at least 34 points in two of their four games and that doesn’t bode well heading into New England to face a Patriots team that seemed to have found their footing in a big way in this past weekend’s emphatic smackdown of Miami.
New England has won seven straight in this series and five straight since Andrew Luck took over for Peyton Manning in Indy. More importantly, the Patriots have won four of the last five meetings by at least 21 points while going 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games.
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last five against New England and 4-7-1 ATS in their last 12 road dates against the Pats. I like New England to pick up another big win to cover the chalk against the Colts.
Predicted Score: Patriots 35 Colts 21
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