NFL Trio of Action: Ravens Vs Chiefs; Patriots Vs Dolphins & Saints Vs Buccaneers
The Baltimore Ravens, New England Patriots, and New Orleans Saints will all be looking to play the role of road warriors when they hit the gridiron for their respective Week 14 matchups.
If you’re looking for some expert Week 14 NFL predictions that could help you in your quest to cash in early and often over the course of the coming week, then consider your ticket punched with our second part of our weekly Trio of Action. Now, let’s get down to business.
Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore has won three straight with rookie Lamar Jackson under center and now it looks like there’s no going back to former starter Joe Flacco. The Ravens manhandled Washington 26-16 last weekend as Jackson passed for 125 yards and rushed for 75 more and one touchdown while Baltimore’s defense showed up in a big way again by holding Atlanta to just 131 total yards.
“Our defense, they’re rolling,” Jackson said.
Baltimore is averaging 24.8 points per game while limiting their opponents to a league-leading 17.8 points per contest defensively to rank first in points allowed.
Following their Week 12 bye, Kansas City bounced back from their Week 11 loss against the Rams to beat Oakland 40-33 in a high-scoring affair on Sunday that wasn’t as close as the final score indicates. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes passed for 295 yards and tossed four TD passes to join Peyton Manning and Tom Brady as the only quarterbacks to throw 40 TD passes in 12 games.
“The mindset of this team is whenever you get your opportunity, you make the most of it,” Mahomes said. “I think every single game someone else steps up. We kept our mind on that and just playing football, a game we love.”
The Chiefs average a league-leading 37.0 points per game but give up a generous 27.2 points per contest defensively to rank an uninspiring 27th in points allowed.
• Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
• Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 14.
• Ravens are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Chiefs are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
• Chiefs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.
• Chiefs are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• Chiefs are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
In this classic matchup of offense versus defense, I really like Baltimore to cover the chalk, even though I don’t see them getting the outright upset win against Kansas City.
The Ravens are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on grass and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. While Kansas City has gone 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following am ATS loss, the Chiefs are also just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. I’m feeling a win for Kansas City in this one, but an ATS cover for Baltimore.
Predicted Score: Kansas City Chiefs 27 | Baltimore Ravens 21
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins
The Patriots have won two straight including their 24-10 smackdown win over Minnesota on Sunday night as quarterback Tom Brady passed for 311 yards and one touchdown while New England’s defense picked off Kirk Cousins twice and sacked him on two other occasions in the win. Fullback James Develin added a pair of rushing scores in the win. The Patriots average 27.6 points per game (7th) while allowing 21.6 points per contest defensively (9th).
“Every guy on the offense, they’re hungry. You know, just like the defense. We’re all hungry,” Patriots receiver Cordarrelle Patterson said. “We all know our role and we embrace it.”
Miami managed to snap a two-game skid and keep their postseason hopes alive by beating Buffalo 21-17 this past weekend to narrowly cover the spread as a 3.5-point home favorite. Ryan Tannehill passed for 137 yards but tossed three touchdowns and just one interception while Miami’s defense picked off Buffalo’s Josh Allen twice in the much-needed victory. The Fins got the win despite being out-gained 415-175 yards.
“It beats the heck out of the alternative,” said Tannehill.
The Dolphins averaged just 20.3 points per game (25th) while allowing 25.0 points per contest defensively (20th).
• Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East.
• Patriots are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games.
• Patriots are 37-15 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
• Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Dolphins are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Dolphins are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in December.
Despite the fact that New England is far superior on both sides of the ball and have a quarterback that is better than Miami’s Ryan Tannehill on his very worst day, I’m going to advise you to back the Miami Dolphins to at least cover the chalk in this week 14 AFC East divisional battle. The Dolphins beat the Patriots the last time they visited South Beach and they’ve beaten New England outright in four of their last five home dates overall.
The Home team in this AFC East rivalry has gone 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings and the Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Miami. The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and I like them to cover the chalk, even though New England is clearly the superior team on both sides of the ball.
Predicted Score: New England Patriots 31 | Miami Dolphins 24
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans was on the wrong end of a shocking 13-10 road loss to Dallas while never coming close to covering the spread as a 7.5-point favorite. Drew Brees and the Saints’ high-scoring offense were held to just 10 third-quarter points in the loss. Brees was limited to just 127 passing yards with one touchdown and one interception.
“As an offense, we think complementary football,” Brees said. “Let’s put together a drive. Let’s keep our defense off the field. Let’s control the game, control the clock, control the ball. Just never felt like we really did that as an offense like we’ve done this year.”
Tampa Bay picked up a fantastic 24-17 win over Carolina on Sunday as Jameis Winston tossed two TD passes and the Bucs’ defense picked off Cam Newton four times to get the win with undrafted safety Andrew Adams recording three of those interceptions.
“You definitely dream about interceptions, but three in one game? No,” said Adams, who signed with the Bucs on Sept. 25 and had only one pick in 38 career games prior to Sunday. “But, it’s just a blessing. I give all glory to God.”
• Saints are 12-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
• Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South.
• Buccaneers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.
I know the Saints are averaging a stellar 34.9 points per game to rank third in scoring, but Tampa Bay is putting up a solid 26.5 points per game to rank an impressive 10th in scoring. While the Bucs also allow about five more points per game than the Saints, I like Tampa Bay to find a way to cover the chalk as a slightly more than touchdown home dog. The Home team in this NFC South divisional rivalry has gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the Saints are an identical 1-4 ATS in their last five road dates against Tampa Bay. I’ve got the Bucs covering the spread in this one!
Predicted Score: New Orleans Saints 28 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24
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