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Sam Darnold and the New York Jets will be looking for their first victory since Week 1 when they host Case Keenum and what will almost certainly be a desperate Denver Broncos team when they square off on Sunday.

While Denver had yet to play their Week 4 Monday night matchup against Kansas City at the time of this writing, let’s find out where the value lies in this NFL Week 5 pairing of AFC playoff longshots.

Denver Broncos at New York Jets

Game Information

🏈: Denver Broncos (2-2) at New York Jets (1-3)
⏰: Sun. Oct 7, 2018 1:00 PM ET
🏟️: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
📺: CBS, DTV: 709
🎰: TBA

Denver Broncos (2-2)

Again, while Denver had yet to play their Week 4 matchup against unbeaten Kansas City on Monday night, let it be known that veteran quarterback Case Keenum has clearly reverted back to the mediocre signal-caller he was prior to his career year with Minnesota last season.

Denver’s new starting quarterback was limited to just 192 passing yards with no touchdowns and one interception in the Broncos’ 27-14 Week 2 smackdown loss against Baltimore. Keenum was sacked three times and finished with an abysmal 29.3 quarterback rating.

“I think we kind of made it easy for them,” Broncos safety Darian Stewart said. “We gave them a lot of stuff.”

After tossing just seven interceptions a year ago for Minnesota, Keenum has tossed five picks already this season – against just three TD passes while compiling an unsightly 37.5 quarterback rating.

NFL Week 5 Denver Broncos at New York Jets Case-Keenum

New York Jets (1-3)

The Jets got man-handled in their 31-12 Week 4 loss to Jacksonville on Sunday just as I predicted. Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold was limited to 17 of 34 passing for 167 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions and he got no help from a rushing attack that was held to just 34 yards.

“We’ve got to make plays that were there,” Darnold said. “I’ve got to make throws that are there and not think too much, take what they give me and we’ll start to find completions and get into a rhythm.”

New York gave up 388 passing yards to Jacksonville quarterback Blake Bortles in the loss.

“I felt we took a step back today,” Jets coach Todd Bowles said. “Nobody played well. We gave up a bunch of yards. We usually fight-to be in ballgames. We’re usually in every ballgame. But we shot Ourselves in the foot too much in the first half today. It’s back to the drawing board in every phase — offense, defense, special teams. It’s back to the drawing board.

NFL Week 5 Denver Broncos at New-York-Jets_Sam-Darnold

Expert Pick and Prediction

The Jets are playing at home and I believe Todd Bowles definitely has the coaching edge over Denver’s Vance Joseph, but for this Week 5 showdown, I’m going to advise you to back the Broncos for a couple of reasons. First and foremost, I’m expecting the Broncos to be completely and utterly desperate. The Broncos also have a superstar leader on defense in linebacker Von Miller that I am expecting to get after Sam Darnold early and often in this contest.

After a stunning Detroit 48-17 in their opener, New York has not scored more than 17 points in each of their last three games while getting held-to an identical 12 points against the Dolphins and Jags in Weeks 2 and 4. Denver might be mediocre at best this season, but they’re the pick to-win outright in Week 5 and cover the chalk against the rebuilding Jets!

Predicted Score: Broncos 24 Jets 17

NFL Week 5 Denver Broncos at New York Jets Winner

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