Don’t say I didn’t warn you.
After touting Andy Dalton and the Cincinnati Bengals as a team I expected to be one of the most improved teams in the league this season, Cincy has made me look good (if that’s even possible) by getting off to an impressive 3-1 start this season.
While Ryan Tannehill and the Miami Dolphins are also 3-1 heading into their NFL Week 5 matchup against Cincinnati, the Fins also got the taste slapped out of their mouths this past weekend.
Now, with the Bengals looking to extend their winning ways and Miami looking to bounce back in a big way, let’s find out where the value lies in their Week 5 matchup on Sunday.
Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals
🏈: Miami Dolphins (3-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-1)
⏰: Sun. Oct 7, 2018 1:00 PM ET
🏟️: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
📺: CB, DTV: 706
🎰: Cincinnati Bengals -5½ -110 | -245 | U 48½ -110
Miami Dolphins (3-1)
Miami got all kinds of smacked around in their 38-7 beatdown against New England last weekend. Ryan Tannehill went 11 for 20 for just 100 yards with no touchdowns and one interception before getting benched in favor of the completely awful Brock Osweiler. Miami got held to just 56 rushing yards, gave up three TD passes and got shut out for the game’s first three quarters.
“Not a lot went right for us,” Tannehill said.
Miami was just 3 of 11 on third down and totaled just 172 total yards. The Dolphins also had two turnovers and had 10 penalties called on them in the loss.
“I feel like it’s nothing they did,” running back Kenyan Drake said. “I felt like we out there and the penalties and all those things killed us.”
Cincinnati Bengals (3-1)
The Bengals got past Atlanta 37-36 in a thriller to cash in as a 3.5-point road dog just as I predicted as Andy Dalton threw for 337 yards with three touchdowns and one interception and Giovani Bernard added two rushing scores. Dalton hooked up with wide receiver A.J. Green on a 13-yard touchdown pass with seven seconds remaining to lift the Bengals to victory.
“Every time we were in the huddle we were encouraging each other and saying we’ve got to find a way,” said tight end C.J. Uzomah. “We made it happen.”
Expert Pick and Prediction
There’s a reason why a compelling 67 percent of public bettors already like the Bengals to win and cash in and it’s because Cincinnati is far superior to Miami on both sides of the ball, not to mention the quarterback matchup in this contest isn’t even close. The Dolphins are 5-8-2 ATS in their last 15 games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. On the flip side of the coin, Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last six games and 4-1 ATS in their last five home dates.
Miami won’t have an answer for the Andy Dalton and A.J. Green connection and they’re going to struggle against Cincy’s defense as well. If you didn’t know before…now you do. The Bengals are a lock!
Predicted Score: Bengals 31 Dolphins 21
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